UFC on Fuel TV 9 Preview

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Featherweights

Diego Brandao (16-8, 2-1 UFC) vs. Pablo Garza (12-3, 3-2 UFC)

The Matchup: Known for his all-out aggression since he won Season 14 of “The Ultimate Fighter,” Brandao showed that he can thrive in a more drawn-out affair by capturing a unanimous decision over Joey Gambino at UFC 153. That was a stark contrast to Brandao’s showing at UFC 146, where he came out with guns blazing in the first round against Darren Elkins, only to find himself gassed over the bout’s final 10 minutes.

Garza also showed a different approach in his most recent outing, using takedowns and top control to hand Mark Hominick his fourth consecutive defeat at UFC 154 in November. Usually, it is the lanky Garza who is more likely to be grounded, as he was in a loss to the wrestling-minded Dennis Bermudez at UFC on Fox 3.

While Brandao might have tempered his approach somewhat, he remains a quick starter who looks to impose his will with heavy power punches in the opening moments of a fight. Garza has proven vulnerable to well-timed strikes in the past, although he is capable of launching flashy attacks on the feet, as well. “The Scarecrow” must put his nine-inch reach advantage to work and keep Brandao at a safe distance with straight punches and kicks. Once the Brazilian is able to get inside, a murderous barrage of overhand rights and hooks will follow.

It remains to Garza’s advantage to weather the early storm and force Brandao to fight past the first round. If he cannot get the quick finish, “Ceara” should employ a similar game plan to the one he used against Gambino, shooting for takedowns and working heavy ground-and-pound from above. A Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, Brandao must curb his aggression when attacking from guard, because Garza is adept at using his long limbs to secure submissions from his back.

The Pick: If things get heated early, Garza could jump guard in hopes of luring Brandao to make a mistake. However, he does not have a clear advantage, even there. Brandao rocks Garza on the feet and then pounces for a submission in round one.

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